Posted: 12:00 p.m. Friday, Sept. 13, 2013
By Chris Pendley
Calling this a big game is technically true, but not in a "Tennessee absolutely must win this game" set. This is a chance, nothing more - if we're lucky enough to see a win, that would be The Year One Upset. Heck, with a close loss, we're still really happy.
Personally? Let;'s not lose the game by 70. And with that, I can freely admit that I'm pretty much in the tank for Oregon's offense the rest of the season; I want to win this game 84-83. Is that rational? Nope. Do I care? Hardly.
On to the Locks, then the Recaps, then the Keys (but Locks, Recaps, and Keys doesn't really roll off the tongue).
Chris -- Week 2: 2-4. Season: 6-6
KidB -- Week 2: 3-3. Season: 7-5
I_S -- Week 2: 2-4. Season: 6-6.
Louisville (-14) at Kentucky - Louisville's won their first two games 49-7 and 44-7. That means they're winning on Saturday 39-7; it's just science, y'all. Bonus pro tip: Kentucky isn't good at the footballs. <---- sports take so hot it's blue
UCLA (+4) at Nebraska - this is entirely backing Nebraska's awful, awful defense and UCLA not being awful. Honestly, I was wondering if this line was a misprint.
WKU (-9) at South Alabama - Western Kentucky is better than they showed against us last week, and I'm thinking South Alabama's win is a sign that Tulane is also awful at football.
Washington (-9.5) at Illinois - I don't trust Illinois. Still.
Ole Miss (+3) at Texas - ESS EEE CEE TURMOIL. First team to 50 wins (hint: it'll be Ole Miss).
Iowa/Iowa State UNDER 48 - I hate fun. I also hate Greg Davis' offense like Sam Querrey hates the fourth round (two guys will get that reference and they'll find it hilarious, I swear).
WKU-9 over South Alabama: South Alabama burned me once, and yet i refuse to learn from that experience. I'm hopping back on the Petrino motorcycle....er...I mean bandwagon.
Washington U-9.5 over Illinois: In 2012, Washington struggled with injuries and peopled raised questions about the program's future. Similarly, Rafael Nadal was out with a knee injury 2012 and folks wondered whether he'd regain his top form. And we all know how that worked out, now don't we? Now I'm not saying that Washington U is Rafael Nadal. Or even a poor man's Rafael Nadal. But I'm also not saying Illinois is Novak Djokovic. Or even a homeless man's Novak Djokovic.
Georgia Tech-8.5 over Duke: Georgia Tech is my sleeper team this year. They're totally under the radar. They should consider renaming themselves Stan Wawrinka. And like Stan The Man, they'll get points with a power ground game.
Maryland-6.5 over UConn: UConn either lost to or struggled mightily with Liberty, which is apparently Jerry Falwell's school or something. Maryland, on the other hand, appears to actually be a decent squad.
Northern Illinois-28.5 over Idaho: Idaho might possibly be the worst team in the FBS not named Georgia State. At present, there is referendum on the table to rename the school Donald Young. Needless to say, this game really should not be close.
Rutgers -28 over Eastern Michigan: Rutgers put up tons of points against Fresno State, but also allowed Fresno State to score loads of points. Here, Rutgers will put up tons of points against Eastern Michigan, but they will allow very few points to be scored against them. And why? Well because Eastern Michigan is atrocious at football. Duh. Rutgers will win going away just like The Great Great Rafael Nadal.
Bowling Green/Indiana over 62.5. I think I'm just going to keep taking Indiana overs until they don't hit one.
Youngstown State +24 over Michigan State. Sparty didn't even cover this against YSU that year that they had an offense. This year they don't have one. I mean, they only scored 21 against a USF team so bad that they're tempting me to pick FAU this week.
Rutgers -28 over Eastern Michigan. I picked this game entirely independent of KidB, but for pretty much all the same reasons.
Georgia Tech -8.5 over Duke. Duke has a whole lot of trouble with the option. Well, most teams do, but I don't think Duke has held GT under 30 since Paul Johnson got there. If you like Duke here, take the over. If not, take the Jackets.
??? +20.5 over Notre Dame. Notre Dame has a tendency to overlook their bye weeks and fail to dominate. This bye week is particularly easy to overlook this season, especially coming right in between the two Michigan schools.
Oregon State +3 over Utah. I'm still not totally onboard with Utah, and I'm still not totally offboard with Oregon State. They have a tendency to screw around in non-conference and then wake up for conference play. Let's see if that tendency continues. Honestly, I really like WKU too, but I'm keeping them off the list as a kindness to my opponents, as the unanimous picks always lose.