ORLANDO, Fla. — The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season shows no signs of slowing down, according to the annual mid-season update issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service.
Wednesday’s update continues to predict an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season.
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NOAA said the latest outlook reflects that the number of expected named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater) is 15-21, including 7-10 hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater), of which 3-5 could become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, or 5 with winds 111 mph or greater).
The updated outlook includes the five named storms that have formed so far, with Hurricane Elsa becoming the earliest fifth named storm on record.
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“After a record-setting start, the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season does not show any signs of relenting as it enters the peak months ahead,” said NOAA administrator Rick Spinrad in a statement. “NOAA will continue to provide the science and services that are foundational to keeping communities prepared for any threatening storm.”
NOAA scientists predict that the likelihood of an above-normal 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is 65%. There is a 25% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.
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Channel 9 meteorologist Brian Shields said just because a certain number of storms are predicted, doesn’t mean that they all will hit land.
“We don’t know where things will end up. We track and we see,” he said. “Hopefully most stay away from land.”
Reminder: This doesn't mean all these will hit land. We don't know where things will end up. We track and we see. Hopefully most stay away from land. https://t.co/aBQtJ0quzi— Brian Shields, WFTV (@BrianWFTV) August 4, 2021
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