FLORIDA — With Election Day less than a week away, a greater percentage of Florida’s registered Democrats have cast ballots than Republicans, according to a Channel 9 analysis of turnout data.
The analysis found Democrats are voting at a higher rate than Republicans in 65 of Florida’s 67 counties.
Statewide, about 36% of registered Democrats have voted compared with 27% of registered Republicans.
The early turnout advantage does not necessarily predict the final results. Republicans have historically been more likely to cast their ballots on Election Day.
The numbers come as President Donald Trump returns to Florida to campaign for down-ballot Republicans.
“They’re bringing in the big gun himself to try to, you know, mobilize turnout,” UCF political science professor Aubrey Jewett said.
Gov. Ron DeSantis has also raised concerns about Republican turnout, specifically citing Polk County, where Republicans hold a sizable voter-registration advantage.
U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody, who is scheduled to speak at Trump’s rally, also urged Republicans to vote, saying, “We have got to get this vote out.”
Despite Democrats’ current turnout advantage, Jewett said Florida’s overall Republican voter registration advantage could prove difficult for Democrats to overcome.
“If they can just turn out at an average rate, they have an excellent chance of winning because there’s just so many more Republicans in the state now than there used to be,” Jewett said.
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