Tropical Depression 13 remains disorganized, could become category 1 hurricane

ORLANDO, Fla. — Tropical Depression 13 formed in the central tropical Atlantic late Wednesday, and Tropical Depression 14 formed Thursday morning.

Both systems remained tropical depressions Friday morning. However, Tropical Depression 13 has yet to form a cohesive center.

“Today we are in monitor mode. I do not have a call to action, other than we should always have a hurricane kit on hand,” meteorologist Brian Shields said.

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Shields said these are the scenarios for the development of the storm:

1.) It could fall apart. It is very disorganized right now.

2.) If it manages to hang together, it could run into land and then fall apart.

3.) If it avoids land, it could strengthen further.

Shields said the system is having trouble finding where it wants its center to be.

WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE: What do they mean? Disturbance, depressions, tropical, subtropical storms, hurricanes

“Tropical Depression 13 will be the one we will really be keeping an eye on over next few days,” meteorologist Kassandra Crimi said. “(The) system is still very disorganized, but (it) is expected to strengthen through the day tomorrow.”

Crimi said the system could be a category 1 hurricane near the Florida Keys by midday Monday.

LIVE: 3pm Tropical Update

We have 'double trouble' with TD13 and TD14 brewing today. Meteorologists Tom Terry, WFTV and Kassandra Crimi talk us through what's going on. #StormAlert9 Read more about the tropics here:

Posted by WFTV Channel 9 on Thursday, August 20, 2020

Tropical storm watches are in place for all of Puerto Rico as Tropical Depression 13 is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm Friday.

“Great impacts will be felt in Puerto Rico through the day on Saturday,” Crimi said.

Chief meteorologist Tom Terry is tracking the depressions live on Channel 9 Eyewitness News. Click here to watch live, and click here to download the free WFTV weather app to receive instant updates on the systems.

Tropical Depression 13

Most model forecast hint for this wave to reach tropical storm status by Friday. By the weekend, it could be a strong tropical storm.

Intensity models are not in great agreement on the strength of this system, and confidence is low on intensity levels.

Intensity is greatly dependent on how its proximity to and interaction with land.

If it interacts with some of the mountains on the Caribbean islands, the system would remain weak.

If the system stays mainly over warm waters, it will have a better chance of intensifying.

There is high confidence on the forecast track -- it will move west very slowly and be somewhere in the Eastern Caribbean or just north of the Eastern Caribbean by the weekend.

It will likely be traveling over the Central Bahamas on Monday, approaching Florida by the evening.

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Under the current track, we forecast lots of rain for South Florida and the deep tropical humidity also reaching Central Florida by the beginning of next week.

Once this system develops a better-defined center of circulation, we expect to have a more precise track and a probable position for Monday.

The next two names on the list are Laura and Marco.

Tropical Depression 14

The system over the southwestern Caribbean is becoming better organized, with more thunderstorm activity but still lacking a well-defined center of circulation.

The National Hurricane Center labeled this system Tropical Depression 14, with it estimated center south of Jamaica.

This story is forecast to cross the Yucatán Peninsula this weekend as it moves northwest and enters the warm Gulf of Mexico on Monday.

Both systems over the Caribbean guarantees lots of tropical humidity for Florida late this weekend into the beginning of next week.

By the weekend we could have two tropical storms fairly close to Florida -- possibly Laura and Marco.

Did you know? Red skies are a sailor’s delight… except when a slow-moving tropical storm is near

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Jason Kelly

Jason Kelly,

Jason Kelly joined WFTV Channel 9 in 2014. He serves as the station's Digital Executive Producer.

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