Tropical Storm Dorian steady over the Caribbean; high uncertainty of impact in Florida
8am Dorian Update: Winds still 50mph. 275 miles SE of Puerto Rico. Possible Impacts to Florida beginning late Saturday. pic.twitter.com/zrJgblbq4M
— Rusty McCranie (@RMcCranieWFTV) August 27, 2019
The 5AM update on Dorian is out with no major changes at this time. There remains a great deal of uncertainty with the future track & intensity of Dorian after it encounters Hispaniola. Continue to monitor forecasts from the National Hurricane Center at https://t.co/s74vyuZlFT pic.twitter.com/98TaDiK5gu
— NWS Tampa Bay (@NWSTampaBay) August 27, 2019
DORIAN: Tuesday Update ~ Florida Threat 1.) Dorian is entering the Caribbean. 2.) It will impact Puerto Rico & The...
Posted by Brian Shields, WFTV on Tuesday, August 27, 2019
ORLANDO, Fla. — MONDAY 11 p.m. update:
Tropical Storm Dorian crossed Barbados and it lost a bit of its maximum sustained winds. The system now has 50 mph maximum sustained winds and will continue to travel to the west-northwest at about 13 mph. The dry air seems to be weakening Dorian and it seems like it will continue to struggle as at the start of its journey through the Caribbean. Hurricane Hunters investigated the system Monday afternoon and found the system not to be as organized as shown in the satellite.
It is possible that tropical storm or hurricane watches will be issued Tuesday morning for Hispaniola.
The cone shows uncertainty. Therefore, it widens w/ time. More time, more uncertainty. See how the margin of error increases. The cone shows where the CENTER is most likely to land. 2/3 lands in cone. But remember impacts go beyond the center of the storm. pic.twitter.com/3MwuJCsJUV
— Irene Sans (@IreneSans) August 27, 2019
From Thursday on the forecast is still very uncertain. There is the potential for some impact in Florida, but it will all depend on how disrupted this system is once it crosses the Caribbean and possibly interacts with the terrain in the Dominican Republic.
We will continue to monitor the system and keep you updated on Eyewitness News and on our free WFTV Weather app.
Remember the margin of error at day 5 is over 200 miles. There is still a lot on the table for Dorian in the Caribbean. Although Florida is in the cone, it is the cone of UNCERTAINTY.
— Irene Sans (@IreneSans) August 27, 2019
Now we wait for #Dorian to enter the #Caribbean pic.twitter.com/mpXAtSjur9
MONDAY 8 p.m. update:
Invest 98L has become Tropical Depression number 6. It continues to move away from land. The system is about 300 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Currently, the storm is crawling to the east at about 2 mph and will turn northward on Wednesday.
Barbados and surrounding Windward Islands could receive up to 10 inches of rain in some spots. Winds will be increasing as Dorian is likely to intensify to a hurricane as it crosses the Lesser Antilles.
A tropical storm watch has been issued for Puerto Rico as the storm is forecast to pass to its South and much rain is expected to fall over the Island.
#Recon flight through #Dorian not showing a lower pressure (slightly higher in fact ~1005mb) yet, but colder clouds near the system still a sign of more slow organization. Still awaiting a vortex statement from the aircraft for more detail. #EyeonTropics
— tom terry (@TTerryWFTV) August 26, 2019
Puerto Rico under a Tropical Storm watch. #PR will be in the most active side of Dorian, expect torrential rains. 2-4in some spots 6''
— Irene Sans (@IreneSans) August 26, 2019
Vigilancia de tormenta tropical para #PuertoRico
el lado más lluvioso de #Dorian traerá lluvias torreciales a PR 2-4 pulgadas, algunos con 6'' pic.twitter.com/Kuvzj3JIz0
5 pm Eye on the Tropics update...New Dorian track and newly formed Tropical Depression Six. #EyeOnTheTropics #Dorian #WFTV #FLwx pic.twitter.com/x8oX3nCgUJ
— George Waldenberger (@GWaldenWFTV) August 26, 2019
Latest watch and warnings in effect
Local weather: Rain, some strong storms expected in Central Florida
DORIAN’S TRACK
#Dorian's rains arrive to the Windward Islands. This is a compact storm. The track has been consistent, but the intensities are EVERYWHERE.
— Irene Sans (@IreneSans) August 26, 2019
Also, track shifted a bit to the right.. but with intensity varying so much, this could still change. pic.twitter.com/c7fprrYdAf
2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season name list
Latest watch and warnings in effect
What’s the difference? Hurricane, tropical storm and a tropical depression
It was expected for the tropics to get busier. After all, we are approaching the heart of the season. Usually, over 80% of Atlantic tropical activity occurs between August and October.
HELPFUL LINKS:
Water Temperatures and Wave Height
Watch Channel 9 Eyewitness News for an updated track of the system.
Interesting Fact: #Dorian replaced Dean (2007) in the name list.
— Irene Sans (@IreneSans) August 26, 2019
Hurricane #Dean was the strongest tropical cyclone of the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season. It was a category 5 hurrricane that hit Quintana Roo, Mexico. pic.twitter.com/0GgFEU7pvs
Follow our Severe Weather team on Twitter for live updates:
- Chief meteorologist Tom Terry
- Brian Shields
- Irene Sans
- Kassandra Crimi
- George Waldenberger
- Rusty McCranie
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